Note from the Drunkard: This is an article transferred by a friend. The Drunkard may not agree with the views, but appreciates this spirit of exploration.

I think it is necessary for me to write something for China.

Although I have always advocated being away from politics and have an innate disappointment with the so-called world trend, many things recently have made me feel that there is something like a thorn in my throat and I don’t vomit. I hate comments because most of the commentators are just good at talking about the truth, and once they start, they are in a difficult position.

It is certainly very comfortable to speak while standing without a back pain. I know that one day I might slap myself in the mouth because of what I said. But I still decided to say, as Mr. Lu Xun said, it is cruel to wake up a person in a house, but if you wake everyone up, how could it be impossible to pierce a hole in the house to breathe?

I know, maybe I can't build this house better, but I hope what I say can give others some inspiration or thinking. In these inspiration or thinking, there may be experts in building houses.

What I want to say today is, who is abandoning China?

This problem seems too big and almost impossible to start. I'll start with the details. I saw a post on NetEase Business Report yesterday, and the content was like this.

The housing reform is to empty your pockets, the educational reform is to drive your elders crazy, and the medical reform is to send you to the end in advance.

A very interesting post, but it truly reflects the reality of our reform. Where is China's future? Should we move towards the United States or become the next Latin America?

We can often hear the saying that the present of the United States is our future. This sentence makes us have many beautiful imaginations, as if we really work hard like this for many years, we will definitely be able to catch up with the Premier League and the United States and live a happy life for European and Americans. But now, in our opinion, perhaps catching up with the Premier League and the United States is just a beautiful imagination, maybe China's seemingly powerful economy has been undercurrents, and maybe the singing and dancing are already full of dangers.

2. Why do we need to create Latin America?

There has never been Latin America in our mainstream vision. In our concept, the term Latin America is no more advanced than Africa. We disdain to bring about Latin America, where all the cancers of capitalism are breeding, the gap between the rich and the poor, social turmoil, political dictatorship, and economic development. After Latin America's independence, they have been struggling for more than 200 years, but are still in the third world. How can we compare ourselves to Latin America?

Latin Americans first entered our sight, probably last year. When we were talking about the future trend of China's automobile industry, we mentioned this term for the first time, and then Latin America. Some people raised their concerns about the world's automobile giants entering China and dividing the market at that time, saying that if Chinese automobiles cannot take the path of independent development of their own brand and attempt to exchange market for technology, they will eventually become a processing factory of the world's automobile giants, just like the Latin American automobile market, and grab a little bit of leftovers at the bottom of the food chain. It will never be able to go hand in hand with them in the world market. More importantly, the investment exchanged for low labor will not last long, because once a market with lower labor costs appears, multinational giants will immediately transfer industries. At that time, the Chinese automobile industry will be taken away, and today in Latin America is China's future. This kind of worry is not unreasonable.

What I want to talk about today is not just China's automobile industry, but China's entire future. Where are we going? Is it developed Europe and the United States or chaotic Latin America?

When Lang Xianping was giving a speech at Chinese workers, he told college students, "When you write to your daughter in 30 years, you may write, are you okay when you are a nanny in other countries?" "If the trust system is always lacking, then reform will bring us to the Philippines instead of the United States." The college students in the audience were inexplicably surprised.

Actually, I think there is nothing to be surprised about. Even I can understand this truth. Who can't understand the elites in China who have drunk foreign ink and read Harvard and Cambridge? But it is estimated that only Lang Xianping is the only one who is willing to tell it out and tell us the ignorant public and young students.

Some things need to be thought more with your toes. God gave us a head, not to make us think all day long if our colleagues have paid more than me or why our neighbor's husband can make money better than me. I remember when I was studying modern world history in middle school, there was a question that I couldn't figure out. Why did the time for independence in the United States be similar to that in the United States, and why did the gap in development in the end be so big? History books tell us that it was because of the plunder of imperialism. I always felt that

It's bullshit. If a pair of little brothers grow up together, one day my brother said to my younger brother, from today on, you will be under my control, and the money you earn will belong to me, and the brothers will be willing to be? It is said that after the independence of the United States, it soon became the backyard of the United States. But this is the result, not the reason. The reason why the United States can treat them as a backyard is not because decades later, the brothers are much stronger than the younger brother. They dare to tell my younger brother that if you don't give me the money you earn, I won't beat you up.

Of course, I couldn't understand it at the time. When I faced such an answer, I was just talking nonsense in my heart. Apart from that, I could not raise any objections. But now, I dare say that perhaps the real answer has been discovered by us and that it is troubled by our China.

The gap between Latin America and the United States is that it has not formed a good wealth regeneration system. To put it in a more mainstream sentence, it lacks the ability to develop sustainable wealth accumulation.

Three, a simple example

Let me give you a simple example to illustrate such a difference.

The first situation: Suppose a gold mine was discovered in a place, and a person came to invest in a mine, hired 100 workers to make gold for him, making a profit of 10 million yuan per year. The mine owner paid 50% of it as the wages of the workers. Each worker earned 50,000 yuan per year. They used 10,000 yuan to rent a house. The remaining 40,000 yuan could get married, have children, start a family, and start a business. The mine owner still had five million yuan in his hands, which could be invested. Because the workers had money and wanted to settle down, there was demand for the house. So the mine owner used the money in his hands to build a house, rented it to the workers, or sold it to the workers. The workers had to eat and drink,

Therefore, when opening a restaurant, you have to make back the money in the hands of the workers. When opening a restaurant, you have to hire other workers, so the workers' wives have employment opportunities and income. The consumption demand for a family is even greater. In this way, a few years later, 100 families appeared in this place. Children have to study and have education, so some people come to run schools, workers have to date, consume, and do other things. So there are cinemas and shops. In this way, 50 years have passed, when the mines in this place are almost dug up, this place has become a prosperous city with about 100,000 people.

The second situation is as follows: Suppose that gold mines are also discovered, and someone comes to invest in mining, and they also hire 100 workers, making a profit of 10 million yuan per year, but the mine owner pays 10% of them as wages, each worker 10,000 yuan a year. This money is only enough for them to fill their stomachs, they have no money to rent a house, have no money to ask for a wife, and they can only live in shacks. The mine owner earns 9 million yuan a year, but when he sees it, he sees poor people, and there is no need for anything to invest in locally. So he transfers the money to the country

In addition, because it is not safe at all in the local area, he built a few luxury villas and hired a few workers as bodyguards. The workers had no future and had no other needs except working hard to make a living. The only chance was to find a way to trick a wife into a wife, give birth to a beautiful daughter, and perhaps marry the mine owner as a wife. After 50 years, there was still no other industry in this place except for the luxury villa. When the mine was dug, the mine owner left with a huge sum of money. The workers either went in exile, the man was a thief or the woman was a prostitute.

A very simple example is actually the different development trajectories of Latin America and the United States. Perhaps today Americans should say thanks to Washington, who created the most modern and scientific political system for the United States, and Henry.

Ford, he created the middle class in the United States. Latin American countries were not so lucky. Their great dictators created a predatory economic system, and frantically divided social wealth in a powerful manner, which made the entire economy run out and no longer able to develop.

Four, Henry.

Ford's Revelation

We need to mention Henry here.

Ford. Among all the commercial figures in ancient and modern times, China and abroad, Henry.

No one can match Ford's impact on the social economy. It was he who used his Model T to create the original middle class and introduced American society into modern society first (Europe is decades later than the United States in this regard). Henry.

Ford said I wanted my workers to afford my Model T, so he paid high wages to the workers. He also created assembly line production methods to greatly reduce cars. So Ford became the largest automobile company, so rich workers could buy cars, houses, and other consumptions. So the middle class was born. So when the western expansion was completed and there was no room for maneuver in the territory, another gold mine was discovered in the United States, and the rapidly growing middle class led to a huge

Demand supports the huge domestic market and continues to drive rapid economic growth. The United States has always been a country that relies on domestic demand to achieve economic growth. China has only a population of 1.2 billion, but its domestic demand is insufficient and has to rely on foreign trade to drive economic growth. You say this is not a strange thing. Do you think you are a small country Japan? You can be fat and fat by relying on an extroverted economy? Who can support China with a population of 1.2 billion? Except for yourself. No wonder the whole world is pointing at you and saying you are dumping people.

Five, China's problems

Speaking of this, it’s time to talk about our China problem. Why do we lack domestic demand? Why do we have no strong middle class? Where has our wealth gone? How much ability do we have to continue to grow?

China has completed its original capital accumulation in a gradual way. Let’s not talk about power-for-money transactions, institutional loopholes, and gained without effort. No country’s original capital accumulation is clean. But the key is, after the accumulation is completed, what should we do? Should we continue to allow the gap between the rich and the poor? Or create our own modern society and create a spindle-shaped social structure.

What are we doing? Is our reform going to the opposite side, and continue to exchange for inflated development by crazy plundering the social wealth of the ordinary people? I saw an article this morning, comparing the top ten gaps between China and Singapore, not to mention the specific ones, because small countries are much easier to manage than a great country like China. However, what I have thought for a long time is the idea of ​​equality invested in Singapore's system, the kind of care for the general public. And what we have seen in this voice besides the pretentious official show? China has never been equal. In the past, there is no, and it is difficult to say whether there will be any in the future. We only have the so-called elites and common people. When all young people with good education spend their whole life buying a place to settle down, when a family and a child go to school, it is quite good when you invest money in the stock market

When donating money, what MBOs are used by state-owned enterprise bosses to fill their personal pockets, when a farmer's income for a year is not as expensive as a big money for a meal, do you expect everyone not to save money and save money wildly? Do you expect trillions of deposits in the bank to be converted into huge demand? Do you expect the consumer goods market to continue to be hot? Do you expect people with some spare money to make more useful investments instead of speculating on real estate as hot money? Do you expect

Can the social wealth, which is not much, flow faster and more reasonably? We are very poor because we don’t have much money, but we are put in the pockets of very few people. We are not rich, but we are pressing one in the bank, one in the house, and one in the stock market. My money seems to be quite good, but even if we can’t move, it’s all dead money. So a few people can only buy LV, Cartier, and Swarovski, because they have nothing to buy except this.

Some people also jumped out to embellish the peace and said about luxury China. Which big country's economy can be driven by several luxury brands? Besides, what does luxury have to do with you? What are you excited about? If you have several top luxury brands in China, it is okay to follow it up. That is just to make France and Italy make more money. This is our China. Before our farmers have become rich, they have already vomited blood for their children's education issues. Our middle class has been robbed before it was born. Where can we find domestic demand? What are we going to do besides exporting and letting the whole world support us? So, the whole world says you dump. Yes, 1.2 billion people, who can support you?

Why is this happening? Why has our reform entered such a situation? Education fees, housing prices are high, stocks are making money, God, what is this decision? Which country that is already rich can't wait to make money from its own people at the beginning?

Where has our elite class gone? Why can't they figure out this kind of problem that can be understood with their toes? Where has the elite class gone? This question is very interesting. I think there are two ways for the elite class to go, one is bribed and the other is strangled.

The Lang Gu battle has already disappointed everyone with the mainland economists. Why are the entire mainland economists defeated by a Hong Kong man named Lang Xianping? There is only one problem - conscience, not that mainland economists are too stupid, but that they have been bought and their conscience has been destroyed. There is no other function except to shout a few times for the master. So our bureaucrats, capital, and intellectuals formed an alliance and formulated plans to further divide wealth. So our general public lost the circle of words, and even if they screamed a few times, they would not be heard.

This is what is bought and killed, and it is the youth.

Thinking of what Mr. Lu Xun said, the most hopeful thing is our youth. However, it is education, education, Chinese education, and Chinese education controlled by these elites. On the one hand, it takes away your wallet and on the other hand, it allows you to accept cramming knowledge. In addition to being able to memorize a few words, it almost deprives you of any ability to think independently. OK, this trick is really good, it is really a way to eliminate the root cause. Lang Xianping said to college students: "Our generation does not understand the rule of law and has no conscience." "Our generation must be eliminated as soon as possible. If you hand over the power to you, you will be the future." Alas, maybe Mr. Lang really doesn't know the mainland of China very much. He doesn't know that the weak shoulders of college students now may not be able to bear the burden at all.
Chapter completed!