"That means he is also preparing, but he is not ready yet?" Zhou Zhi asked.

"He said he didn't have much in hand, but the other person had more." Jiang Wu said, "He invited me to Beijing to discuss it in detail."

"Oh? That's a good thing." Zhou Zhi is a reborn person, and he will not naively think that the bustling scene on the southern island is only something that one or two people can control.

Behind the characters, just like Jiang Wu, what is involved, almost without exception, are the interests of a group of people.

And it is conceivable that those who can exit this drama in time and early will not have their own support behind them.

Now that such help has extended an olive branch, it is indeed not a bad thing for Jiang Wu.

"Is it a good thing? What should I tell them when I go?" Jiang Wu couldn't help but get angry: "When will you leave?"

It is interesting to ask these two questions together, which shows that Jiang Wu still wants to go, but is worried that he will not find a topic, or that he will not be able to give opinions, but will be looked down upon by others, and he wants to encourage Zhou Zhi to be brave.

In fact, this is because Jiang Wu's vision is not broad enough. Nowadays, people who go to sea have a saying that is "how bold the people are, how rich the land is." Take the real estate in the south as an example. From the earliest hundreds of thousands

One acre has increased to five million per acre today, and there is no end in sight.

"Brother Wu, the truth is actually very simple. There is an old saying that 'the wealth is huge, but the hair does not count'. It means that some assets may seem rich, but in fact they contain too much risk."

"I don't know how many assets you have purchased there, but now the profits have accumulated to an astonishing height, and correspondingly, the risks have also accumulated to a very scary height."

"Data analysis is something that is readily available and can be easily handled by a research team." Zhou Zhi said: "As for risks and risk release, similar analysis results can be obtained through stock market research."

"If you compare it vertically, there is an exact matching case - the Florida real estate bubble in the United States in the 1920s."

"If compared horizontally, the island country has already seen signs of a crisis of foreign investment withdrawal starting this year. In March last year, the Ministry of Finance issued the "Regulations on Controlling Land-related Financing." The Nikkei Index has

Eighteen thousand, nine hundred points, all the way down to 20,000 points, 19,000, 18,000 points, and by August it fell below 15,000 points, it was basically a foregone conclusion.”

"And the leader in all this, starting from the release of the "Regulations on Controlling Land-related Financing," declared that real estate is the leader. This is a bloody hard landing."

"From 1985 to 1988, land prices in the central area of ​​the island country increased nearly three times. By 1989, the land prices in the island country exceeded four times the land prices in the United States. By last year, the land price in Tokyo reached the land price in the United States.'

Selling Tokyo and buying America has become a joke among them."

"But the situation took a turn for the worse after March last year, and it's far from over yet."

“Without the intervention of major policies and relying solely on the free development of the market, no matter how fanciful analysts may say, the fundamentals of supply and demand and investment objectives of the real estate market on the big island in the south are actually there.

Inhumane."

“All status quos in history that have deviated too far from the laws of development will eventually be corrected by the constraints of the laws of development. Sometimes they will even go too far, causing the status quo to eventually deviate in the opposite direction and get back on track.”

"This process of economic laws acting is called an economic cycle. Everything has two sides. The cyclical laws of the market economy are its 'bad' side."

"No matter which school of economics works, they all have profound descriptions of this, but these things are not yet familiar to the main practitioners involved in the market economy."

"But Brother Wu, don't worry. Although the market economy has been implemented for almost ten years now, it is still in a very primitive and simple stage."

"The original meaning is that professionals who are well versed in the laws of nature are still too scarce, and theoretical researchers and market practitioners are still out of touch, or to put it another way, there are still no people who can achieve the 'unity of knowledge and action'.

"

"So Brother Wu, you don't have to worry. Even in the capital, the proficient theorists are all in the academy and in the political research office, and there are probably not many so-called trend-setters who are better than you."

Jiang Wu smiled: "I didn't dare to be confident before. Once I have digested what you said today and asked my subordinates to do research based on this idea and give me a few reports, I think it will be almost done."

"Then let's talk about simplicity." Zhou Zhi said with a smile: "The so-called simplicity means that people have not learned to use the economic knowledge they have mastered to intervene in the economy, artificially changing the inherent trajectory of economic operation and causing unexpected results."

"In other words, the current operation of the domestic market economy has a pattern to follow. The real estate operation cycle in the south will most likely follow the path of the first real estate crisis in the United States and Japan."

"But our country has its own special characteristics." Jiang Wu continued to ask: "The intervention of the national will."

"Yes." Zhou Zhi nodded: "It's okay if the state intervenes, but if the state intervenes now, it will be equivalent to the state paying for the greed of some individuals, and the South Island itself does not have very outstanding investment value at present."

"In fact, by referring to the rise of capitalist countries, we can find that for a market economy to achieve great development, several elements are indispensable, including capital, resources, human resources, and the market."

"Does South Island have these advantages? Compared with several special zones, what are its advantages?"

"The South Island does not have capital, resources, let alone manpower, market, and nothing else. Even if the product is produced and shipped to places in China that need it, the freight will be a huge expense."

"As a tourism and agricultural product area, it has unique advantages. As a light and heavy industry area that is urgently needed by the country, South Island does not have the conditions."

"It is not just a random seaside city that can replace Hong Kong Island. The import and export trade, international logistics, and financial services that Hong Kong Island relies on not only rely on convenient ports and preferential policies, but also strong capital.

A large number of professional talents, as well as countless companies and offices with close connections around the world."

"I am afraid that the capital, Shanghai, and several special economic zones combined will not have the talent in this field to reach the level of a Hong Kong Island. Why do some people dare to shout slogans on the South Island issue?"

"Therefore, the so-called geographical advantage is just a big pie and a gimmick, which cannot be refuted. Even if the country fully supports it, the foundation of South Island is there, and it cannot escape the constraints of economic laws no matter what."

"I believe those in Beijing know these issues much better than we do."
Chapter completed!