There are many kinds of inferences, but which one is the conclusion?

On the surface, both Eastern Expeditions in China and Turkey failed, and internal and external troubles broke out together, and there was no condition to launch the Civil War. However, with the powerful national strength of China and the urgent needs faced by the Turks in the west, Goguryeo was actually dying and the enemy of the Far East could no longer pose a threat to China and Turkey, even if China and Turkey did not dare to launch a full-scale Civil War, it was possible to provoke a war in some areas.

So, for what purpose is Middle-earth impatient to provoke war in some areas?

"China and Turkey have only two ways to resolve their Western Xinjiang crisis. One is to fight back by force, and the other is to compromise negotiations." Shi Shuhu and Hu touched his long beard and said calmly.

The Central Turkish Expedition was obviously unrealistic. They had two enemies in Western Xinjiang. The Tuyuhun people in Longxi were easy to deal with, but the Western Turks had swept across the Western Regions and approached Hexi. It was difficult to take care of the head and tail of Zhongtu, which was very embarrassing. Therefore, the best way for Zhongtu was to compromise with the Western Turks. As long as the two sides reached an agreement and formed an alliance, Zhongtu could use the Western Turks to restrain the east of the desert in the direction of Jinshan (Altai). Turks, and once the Turks in the east and west battles, Zhongtu could free up their hands to fight the Tuyuhun people, so the crisis in Western Xinjiang would be quickly resolved.

However, the Western Turks finally took advantage of the great opportunity of the Middle Earth expedition to win today's favorable situation. How could the Middle Earth people get what they wished? The Western Turks would inevitably "open their mouths" and do their best to extort things, try every means to extract benefits. At the same time, they would also use the power of the East. Turks and Tuyuhun people to continue to threaten and invade Middle Earth from the west and north directions, restrain and consume Middle Earth, and attack and weaken Middle Earth's ambitions for the Western Regions, thereby achieving a long-term and stable situation in the east of the Pamirs and creating a stable rear for the war between the Western Turks and the Persians.

So what is the countermeasure of Middle-earth? Can you only swallow your anger and allow the Western Turks to "extort"? Of course, no, in order to take as much initiative as possible in the negotiations, Middle-earth must first show its strong national strength and tell the Western Turks clearly that it is not that I have to swallow my anger in poor strength, but that the situation does not allow me to compromise temporarily. Just wait for me to completely solve the matter in the east, and I can concentrate my efforts to enter Western Turks again and sweep away the captives. At that time, not to mention that Tuguhun is in danger of extermination, even the countries in the Western Regions will not be able to escape the disaster.

How to show your strong national strength? The Middle-earth Expedition failed for two consecutive years and suffered huge losses. Fortunately, the small country of Goguryeo could not withstand the blow of this scale of "storm and rain". Even if it won and defended its territory, its territory was already thousands of miles away from the ruins. The kingdom was on the verge of collapse and could not bear the battle again. If you want to survive, you can surrender. If you rush to surrender before the Third Expedition of Middle-earth, you will retain a trace of face for Middle-earth. The probability of survival is far greater than when Middle-earth soldiers are at the gate of the city. So if nothing unexpected happens, Goguryeo's peace talks have already set out. As long as Goguryeo pays a large enough price, Middle-earth can also "destroy teeth and blood" and swallow the shame of the failure of this Eastern Expedition, and the war will be over.

In other words, although the two consecutive years of Sino-Turkish Eastern Expedition ended in a military defeat, it relied on its strong national strength to drag its opponents to death, and eventually won politically and could still achieve the goal of the war.

Since the Eastern Expedition has actually ended, Zhongtu can certainly free up hands to deal with the Western Xinjiang crisis. However, the Western Xinjiang is too far away, and the exhausted army and excessively damaged national strength do not allow Zhongtu to launch a second Western Expedition immediately, but it has the ability to launch a small-scale local war in Northeast Xinjiang.

If China and Turkey fight this local war, it will first show the powerful national strength of China and Turkey, and secondly, it will achieve the goal of "knocking the mountain and shaking the tiger", warning and deterring the northern desert captives, and at the same time consolidate and strengthen the results of the eastern expedition. Thirdly, if this local battlefield allows China and Turkey to completely control the enemy in the Far East and further strengthen the defense of the Northeast, it will quickly reverse the disadvantages of China and Turkey in the entire northern border defense, and write off the historical "old debts" left by China and Turkey due to the great cause of unification. In this way, China and Turkey will gain greater advantages in the confrontation between the north and the south, and these advantages are enough to help China and Turkey gain more bargaining chips and win more benefits in the negotiations with the Western Turks.

Standing at the height of "three-legged squad", Shi Shuhu and Hu Xi deeply analyzed and deduced the future development of the overall situation between China and foreign countries, and "depicted" a scene of "three heroes competing for hegemony" for Ashinasmo and Ashinaduna's uncle and nephew. The answer was about to come out and was clearly visible.

"So, the key is to kill people with a knife. If we cannot see through the conspiracy of the Middle-earth people, we will suffer." Shi Shu and Hu learned the final summary, and the same sentence is still the same, "killing people with a knife" is the key.

When Shi Shuhu and Hu Xi said before, "The key is to kill people with a knife", neither Ashi Nasmo nor Ashi Nadu Nadao understood it, and even made false inferences. Now, after the classics and Shuhu and Hu Xi explained it in detail, they both understood it, but they were skeptical, not only because this inference was really unexpected and unbelievable, but also because Shi Shuhu and Hu Xi were the core figure of the radical sect, and believed that Zhongtu was the biggest obstacle to rebuilding the unified Turkic Khanate. They had strong hostility towards Zhongtu and regarded Zhongtu as the biggest enemy, and had the willingness and motivation to actively launch the Civil War. Therefore, the uncle and nephew had to be highly alert and had to speculate with the greatest malicious intention of Shi Shu and Hu Xi's real purpose of making this amazing inference.

Asuna Smo frowned, concentrating and worried.

Asuna Duna spread out the map, pondering and silent.

Why did Middle-earth expedition to Goguryeo? Although Goguryeo is the overlord of the Far East and has often invaded Liaodong in Central China over the years, this does not threaten the root of Middle-earth and will not cause the thunder and anger of Middle-earth. What really angered Middle-earth is Goguryeo's over-expanding ambition. It is Goguryeo's alliance with the Khitans to extend his "tentas" to the line of the Ruoluo River (Liao River), exposing his ambition to dominate the Northeast. Once Goguryeo conquered the Northeast and dominated the Northeast, and formed an east-west echo with the Turks in the desert, it will inevitably seriously endanger the northern border defense of Middle-earth, which directly damages the fundamental interests of Middle-earth. Of course, Middle-earth must completely kill it while Goguryeo is not yet rich and its ambition is not fulfilled.

Now the purpose of Middle-earth has basically been achieved, and it has dealt a heavy blow to Goguryeo. Goguryeo was greatly damaged, and the results of its early efforts have disappeared, but this did not solve the fundamental problem. The fundamental problem is that Middle-earth has a fatal flaw in the defense of the entire northern border, and this flaw is that Middle-earth cannot truly conquer the Northeast's Wuhu, Xi, Khitan and other enemy, cannot actually control the southern part of the Ruoluo River, and cannot include this area into its own territory. In this way, it will not be able to destroy the attacks formed by the Turks, Goguryeo and other enemy attacks the northern border of Middle-earth.

This defect was "see" by the barbarians outside the frontier, so whether it was the Turks in the desert, Goguryeo in the Far East, or even the Shiwei and Mohe in the far east, they were all eyeing this area and coveting it. They all wanted to take it as their own, and they all wanted to prevent the Middle Earth from occupying this area. They inserted a huge "tenon" at the junction of the barbarians outside the frontier, and then gave Middle Earth a chance to divide it and defeat them. In order to protect themselves, the barbarians in the northeast also "worship the wharf" everywhere to recognize their elder brother, who was both a vassal of the Middle Earth and a vassal of the Turks. At the same time, they also formed alliances with Goguryeo, Shiwei and Mohe, united and crossed the cliffs, and sought survival in the cracks.

Because of this, this region involves too much interests, which can affect the whole body. If China and Turkey force troops to send troops to the weak Luoshui River, attack the Northeastern enemy, tear up the alliance, and betrayal, it will definitely become the target of public criticism. Being jointly blocked by the enemy outside the frontier, it will definitely affect and even endanger the security of the northern border towns and garrisons, and even detonate the Civil War. However, China and Turkey do not want to carry out the Civil War without absolute certainty. After all, the great cause of unification has just been completed, the centralized reform has just begun, the foundation of unification has not yet been consolidated, and there is no ability to expand territory. The most urgent task is to "settle the country" rather than "repel foreign powers", and it is not appropriate to launch a large-scale comprehensive war.

Of course, in the past decade, especially in the Eastern Turkic Khanate, especially in the period of separatism and war, Middle-earth did not have no chance to send troops to the Northeast, but due to various reasons, such as domestic political storms, some adjustments in national defense and diplomatic strategies, such as the failure of the expedition to Goguryeo in the late Kaihuang period, the need for King Yang Liang of Han to seize the imperial rule, etc., all of them were missed, so that Middle-earth has not yet solved this historical problem and failed to solve this fatal flaw in the northern border town garrisons.

But this flaw must be compensated and this historical problem must be solved. After the development of China's national strength, China will definitely expand its territory and launch the Civil War. To win the Civil War, the premise is to consolidate and strengthen the security of the northern border towns and garrisons. For this reason, we must take over the Northeast region and conquer the Northeastern barbarians such as the Xi, Khitan, and others must insert a mortise at the junction of the barbarians outside the frontier to break the east-west attack of the barbarians outside the frontier to defend the northbound border. However, the "master" of the barbarians in the Northeastern barbarians were Turks, as well as Goguryeo, Shi Wei, and Marceli, which were blood-aligned "brothers". Therefore, if Zhongtu actively attacks the barbarians in the Northeastern barbarians, they will definitely break up with the Turks, and at the same time they will also attract a large number of evil wolves. This is equivalent to turning against all the barbarians outside the frontier and stabbing the hornet's nest, the result will definitely not be worth the loss.

So Middle-earth defeated each one, first to fight the wolf, and to fight Goguryeo in the east, and first defeated the "leader" of the captives of the Northeast and Far East. This goal has been achieved, what should we do next? Should we directly attack the captives of the Northeast and the Turkish people be broken up with each other, or wait a little longer and look for opportunities patiently? Middle-earth people are no longer patient, but they do not want to immediately break up with the Turks and trigger the Civil War, so they have to use a knife to kill people.

The Emperor of Middle-earth borrowed the "sword" of domestic rebels and wanted to kill the Northeastern barbarians. The goal was to take down a large area of ​​land on both sides of the Ruoluo River and insert a mortise at the junction of the barbarians outside the frontier, thereby making up for the shortcomings of Zhongtu in the northern border towns and garrisons, and further expand the advantages of Zhongtu in the north-south confrontation, so as to actively carry out the preliminary preparations for the Civil War.

The clever plan is to replace the army of the Weifu government with "domestic traits" and use "enemy" to achieve the predetermined goal. In this way, the Turks knew that it was the conspiracy of the Middle Earth emperor but could not find any reason to turn against each other. They had to silence the Coptis chinensis and act as the "sword" of Middle Earth to help the Middle Earth emperor suppress the "rebels". Otherwise, the Northeast will be over and the Northeast will be controlled by Middle Earth. Wouldn't the Turks suffer heavy losses? After such a battle, the Turks are willing to

There must be a price to pay, but there will be losses, and the Northeast's captives were also severely damaged. In this unfavorable situation, if Zhongtu uses the excuse of sending troops to suppress the bandits and killing the two sides of the Ruoluo River, wouldn't it be as powerful as a bamboo shoot and the blockers be invincible? The Turks knew that this was a conspiracy of the Middle-earth people, but they could not stop it. As a result, they could only allow the Middle-earth people to be justified, upright, righteous and stern, and actually occupy the Northeast, and they also owe the other party favors. Wouldn't the Turks make them angry and "spout blood"?

After a long time, Ashinaduo finally raised his head, looked at Shi Shuhu and Huzhi with a deep meaning, and asked quietly, "Where is the plan?"

"Suppress!" Shi Shuhu Huxi said without hesitation, "Please use your plans, kill them all, and completely kill the conspiracy of the Middle-earth people."

A hint of clarity suddenly flashed through Ashi's eyes. So that's it. Li Teren was really clever and scheming, so he dug a big hole for me.

Asuna Smo closed his eyes, expressionless, and said nothing.

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Chapter completed!