Just as Xia Tian and Gong Li were strolling on the streets of West Berlin, they suddenly saw people running east in groups, as if something extraordinary happened.

"What's wrong?" Xia Tian asked curiously.

"The East Germans are parading again, they are in support from the past." A passerby explained.

The East German economy began to decline sharply since the 1980s. There are many reasons. One of the reasons is that East Germany was originally a regime supported by the Soviet Union, which is equivalent to its "vassal state".

Not only did they rely heavily on the protection of Soviet troops militarily, but they also rely heavily on the Soviet market economically. Therefore, East Germany has to continue to endure Soviet exploitation.

In the 1980s, due to the decline in oil prices, the Soviet economy suffered heavy blows, so it exploited vassal states like East Germany even more brutal. The East Germany economy relied heavily on the Soviet market, and the Soviet economy declined, and the East Germany economy also had problems.

With the economic decline, the income of the East German people began to decrease, dissatisfaction began to surge, and large-scale conflicts have continued to break out since 1986, demanding a change in the status quo.

After hearing this, Xia Tian suddenly had his eyes lit up and thought of what his fleetingness was.

He had watched a German-made movie in his previous life, called "Goodbye" and there were scenes of East German people taking to the streets. The protagonist was arrested for participating in these activities and was seen by his mother, a firm believer in xxism, which caused her to fall into a coma.

However, Xia was not thinking about these activities, but after the merger of East and West Germany, West Germany took over all banks in East Germany and issued a decree to convert East German marks into West German marks within a time limit, with the exchange ratio of two to one.

At that time, the male protagonist was unconscious and did not know where the savings were hidden in the family, so he could not exchange them in time. When he found the money, the exchange time had passed, so he could only turn into a pile of waste paper. The scene of the male protagonist throwing those banknotes at that time left a very deep impression on Xia Tian.

Now that I think about it, Xia Tian suddenly discovered a very great plan to make money.

As far as he knows, the exchange rate between East Demmark and West Demmark is four to one, and the black market is even bigger, almost ten to one. If a batch of East Demmarks can be hoarded now, then, when the East and West Germany are unified, they will be exchanged for West Demmarks. Conservatively, it will be three to four times the profit.

Now it is 88 years, and East and West Germany will merge in 2019. At most two years, there will be three or four times the profit. This transaction is indeed acceptable.

Xia Tian became happier the more she thought about it, and she couldn't help laughing.

"Brother Tian, ​​why are you laughing?" Gong Li asked in confusion when he saw that he was smiling abruptly.

"Ah, nothing." Xia Tian shook his head and said.

It is hard to say something like this that you can predict the future, and you dare not say anything. Even if you are the closest person you are, you cannot reveal a single point.

Seeing that Gong Li didn't say anything, he had to do it.

...

In the evening, when I returned to the hotel in Xiatian, I locked the door first and called Hong Kong.

"Botao, are you interested in frying Dongdemark?" Xia Tian asked with a smile.

"Mr. Xia, the East German Mark is not an international currency. It may be worth a little money in East German, but no one is willing to recognize its value after leaving the country." Liang Botao explained, "If you don't do business in East German, it's meaningless."

Xia Tian nodded, knowing that East Demark is like the RMB in the mainland, valuable at home, and going abroad is waste paper because it is not recognized internationally.

East Demark exchanges West Demarks at banks in East Deutsches, which is mandatory to one to one, but on the black market, ten East Deutsches can only be exchanged for one West Deutsches.

The same is true for the RMB in the mainland. The official exchange rate can only be exchanged for two Hong Kong dollars. But in fact, on the black market, two RMB can only be exchanged for one Hong Kong dollars, and it has been completely transferred.

Some people say that if that is the case, then exchange Hong Kong dollars from the mainland bank, then exchange it into RMB on the black market, and then get it to the mainland bank to exchange it for Hong Kong dollars. This will bring you several times the profit.

It's not that simple, because the country has regulations that private exchange of foreign currency has conditions and quotas, which completely blocks people who want to speculate and lose money.

"If it suddenly becomes an international currency one day, do you think it still has investment value?" Xia Tian asked with a smile again.

West Germany can be regarded as an international currency. One or two years later, East Germany merged. East Germany and West Germany had an official exchange rate of 2 to 1, and the value was recognized by West Germany, which became an international currency in disguise.

"It's impossible. East Germany is an xxist country, implements a planned economy and pursues a policy of locking the country. How could East Germany become an international currency?" Liang Botao questioned.

If a currency wants to become an international currency, it must have three major principles. The issuing country must have strong economic strength to support it. The issuing currency must have considerable stability and must also be recognized by countries around the world.

For example, East Germany has not bad economic strength. It was once the world's top ten industrial powers, and the currency issued by the East Germany Mark is also quite stable. But the difficulty lies in the third point, because it is an xxist country, its currency is destined to not be recognized and accepted by the Western world. Therefore, it is impossible to become an international currency unless it changes its political attributes.

"According to my current observation, I think East and Germany are likely to merge." Xia Tian explained to Liang Botao, "At that time, West Germany will definitely deal with East Germany's currency, and the best way is to fully recognize the value of East Germany's currency and implement equal proportions of exchange."

"Will East and West Germany merge?! How can you be sure?" Liang Botao said in surprise when he heard this.

Although East Germany and West Germany originally belonged to the same country, they have now been divided into two countries. One is controlled by the Soviet Union, the other is controlled by the United States, the other is controlled by the xxist camp, and the other is capitalist camp. The two are simply incompatible. Even if the people of East and West Germany have the intention to merge, the giants standing behind them will not agree.

"First, the German people have the intention to merge, after all, no one wants to see the motherland be disintegrated into two countries. Both East Germany and West Germany hope to be unified, which is the basis of public opinion." Xia Tian analyzed, "Second, the Soviet Union economy has declined severely in recent years, and the xxist camp has also been in constant conditions, making its big brother's status increasingly unstable, and its support and control for East Germany are becoming weaker and weaker.

In comparison, although the US economy has problems, it is far less serious than that of Su Lian, and its status as a big brother in the capitalist camp is still solid. I think it also hopes to see the unification of East and West Germany, so that it can strengthen the capitalist camp and weaken the xxist camp.

The unification of East and West Germany should not be difficult, with both the support of domestic public opinion and the favorable international environment."

After listening to Xia Tian’s analysis, Liang Botao was shocked and felt that what he said was really reasonable.

On the surface, East and West Germany seem to be incompatible with water and fire, and it is completely impossible to unify. But under the analysis of summer, the chances of unification of the two are really high.

"Mr. Xia, you are so smart. How did you think of it?" Liang Botao said shockedly. He felt that Xia Tian was really not simple. No wonder he could always capture business opportunities and make so much money.

Xia Tian smiled.

In fact, he is not very smart, but he already knows the answer, and if he does reverse reasoning, the difficulty will naturally be much lower, so it sounds so incredible.

"It depends on observation and reasoning." Xia Tian smiled, "Okay, let's not talk about these things for now. I'll ask you, if the East Germany is really merged and West Germany recognizes the East Germany currency, do you think there is money to make money in speculating on East Germany currency?"

"If East and Germany really merge and East Germany is recognized, it will be very profitable." Liang Botao said affirmatively.

Think about it, the East German Mark, which was considered waste paper internationally, turned into a valuable international currency because of West Germany's recognition, and its value was more than doubled, and of course it has the value of investment.
Chapter completed!