Chapter 227 Central Asian Offensive and Defensive Battle (Part 2, 3600
ps: I cried to death. I wrote last night because of ord collapse, and it was gone. Woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo woo w
Shortly after Stalin's telegram arrived, Huasilevsky's telegram also came, but the telegram was written very long, and the translator took a long time to hand over this long speech to Zhukov. What surprised the latter was not that he had a very consistent opinion with Stalin, nor that he had sent a telegram in his personal name, but that the sadness revealed between the lines. Zhukov rarely saw this emotion in this old partner.
"... The diplomatic notes from the United States have come. When the Politburo agreed to temporarily endure and accept the 40% transit fee of humiliation, the US authorities refused. The reasons and excuses for use are irrefutable:... As a democratic country, the United States cannot accept such blackmail, and cannot watch the materials produced with American taxpayers' money eventually fall into the hands of Japan, the enemy of the United States. Once this news spreads, it not only means that the government is politically disgraced, but also means that the people's confidence in war and victory is fundamentally shaken. This is not a problem of losing tens of thousands of tons or several ships, but this is a capital investment in the enemy. At the same time, due to the US navy's many setbacks and the Japanese navy is in full swing, we cannot provide armed escort.
...If the Soviet side cannot solve the current problems, the route will be temporarily suspended. The United States will consider building a new aviation base on the Aleutian Islands to provide emergency air transport to the Soviet Union, which can reach a transportation scale of about 10,000 tons per month."
Zhukov knew that when calculating the supply of materials and combat support this year, the Politburo and the General Staff included U.S. aid materials, with the standard being 300,000 tons/month. If 500,000 tons/month can be ensured, the situation will be relatively abundant. But if only 10,000 tons/month, it will basically be impossible to provide except for some very urgent parts and medicines. Judging from the current situation, air transport will not be launched until at least May, and heavy equipment will definitely not be transported. For a high-intensity war of a large power of five million scale, what can the transportation scale of 10,000 tons/month be worth?
"... Comrades on the diplomatic front conducted arduous efforts and negotiations, and finally formed a plan: the United States transported supplies and ships near the Aleutian Islands, and then we sent crews to transport the last route and were responsible for dealing with Japanese blackmail, so that they could formally avoid the situation of "the United States' investment in enemies". The news we received in private was that the United States military commander department participated in the Joint Conference and agreed to the adaptation plan, but their heads of government refused to sign such an administrative decree. According to the secret information we received, the United States President Roosevelt, who has always advocated friendly cooperation among allies to fight fascism, was hospitalized seriously ill and could not be taken into account. Currently, Vice President Wallace performed the presidential powers, and refused to sign the order was his insistence.
This person is said to have no prestige in Washington, and he also expressed instinctive disgust towards the Bolsheviks. He also had a little political cleanliness and stupid idealism... He not only refused to provide us with material assistance, but also had a lot of complaints about the British aid bill, believing that "the sacrifice is too great, the effect is very low, and the significance is not great." The military officers conveyed the private sympathy of senior military generals for us and the indignation of the current political situation!
At the Politburo meeting, in view of the current situation, many comrades re-puted their request to consider peace, believing that if we continue to delay, not only will the victory of the war be hopeless, but it may lead to the complete destruction of the Party and the country. Comrade Stalin was very anxious about this and could not sleep at night. After collecting and sorting out the information and data obtained from all aspects, I also couldn't sleep at night. I hope to give you a comprehensive, profound and realistic overall situation introduction. I hope you will not think that I am surrenderist or shaken."
Then Huasilevsky listed a long list of numbers and situation introductions. He didn't need to say these contents. Zhukov also had a vague estimate of it in his heart, but when he looked at them all together, he found that the scene was very shocking:
By early 1944, the scale of the Soviet armed forces had been reduced due to the reduction of control scope, insufficient food supply, and continuous failures in the north and central battlefields. After joining more than 800,000 female soldiers, the overall strength was barely more than 7 million, of which nearly 1 million were distributed in the Far East. In the situation where Japan had turned against each other and the Kwantung Army was ready to move, this part of the troops could no longer be drawn, so the actual force could be used to fight the axis.
The Supreme Command estimated that the German army's troops on the Eastern Front battlefield were between 4.2 million and 4.3 million (actually 4.08 million). The remaining armed forces provided by Finland, Italy, Romania, Hungary, Turkey, etc., plus various armed forces such as the Russian People's Liberation Army, Ukraine, Belarus, Central Asia, and the Baltic Three Kingdoms counted nearly 2 million (actually about 1.75 million). This means that the military comparison of the axis not only has the personnel quality greatly overwhelmed the Red Army, but also has basically maintained equal numbers. Now the Soviet army is full of 16 or even 15 years old baby soldiers and grandfather soldiers in their 50s, and their opponents in the firefighting are basically concentrated in the age group of 18-40. Even ordinary officers and soldiers in the age group of 35-40 in the German army are gradually decreasing.
In addition to personnel, the comparison between the two sides in heavy equipment is becoming increasingly unbalanced. The Supreme Command estimated that the number of tanks and self-propelled artillery in the axis center exceeded 20,000 (actually about 15,000), while the Soviet army itself only had more than 13,000 vehicles. The main land combat equipment refers to the comparison of armored vehicles of No. 4 (t-34) or above, which is about 8,000 vs 5,000, and Soviet products are obviously worse than that of German products in terms of quality.
The performance of aviation equipment is also similar. The General Staff estimates that the number of axle aircraft is 25,000 (actually 19,000), while the Red Army itself has only more than 15,000 aircraft. In terms of aircraft performance, when the Red Army has been forced to use a large amount of steel and wood to replace aluminum alloy for aircraft construction, the quality and performance of the axle aircraft are still steadily improving. Now the military industry is even embarrassed to collect aircraft wreckage, whether it is the original or the enemy, and it is back to the furnace for production.
The comparison of equipment at least seems to be completely unbalanced on the surface, but the difference in quality is almost desperate. Since the Red Army lost the Baku oil field production area and cut off the two foreign aid channels in the North Atlantic and Black Sea, the current oil production is only more than 10 million tons per year. In order to ensure the needs of front-line combat, the rear will be pressed and pressed again and again, and it is completely impossible to guarantee it during training. At present, the training cycle of tank soldiers and pilots has been compressed to more than 40 days. People will be trained from a whiteboard to tank crew or pilots in 6 weeks and more than 40 days. 90% of the soldiers trained in this kind of quick training cannot survive the first 20 combat hours.
Currently, the Red Army has less than 20% of pilots with more than 200 flight hours, and less than 10% of pilots with more than 400 flight hours. Most pilots have died after three attack missions, and when they were shot down, they have not even mastered the skills of parachuting when they were shot down. As qualified pilots are becoming increasingly difficult to find, the Red Army was forced to use a large number of female soldiers as pilots. Not only bombers, but also transport planes have launched female pilots in large quantities, and even fighters have begun to use female pilots on a large scale. The German army also noticed signs of exhaustion of the Red Army's reserve force. At first, German pilots made a fuss after returning to the base: "Today I actually shot down a Russian girl..." Later, when they asked each other, they became, "How many Russian girls have you killed?", "5?8? Alas, I can't remember."
If 400,000 tons of aid supplies are lost per month, the amount of heavy equipment will soon be reduced by 20-25%, and it will even have a fundamental impact. For example, the reason why Is-1 and T-43/85 perform well in combat effectiveness is that they use armored steel provided by the United States in key areas. If it is made in the Soviet Union, the defense level will be reduced by at least 2 levels. Without the high-grade aviation gasoline, aluminum alloy, copper ingots and other materials provided by the Americans, many heavy equipment will be greatly reduced. However, after the cruel "reducing people and increasing grain" measures last year, the gap is not that big.
Zhukov was basically clear about these numbers, but after listing them all, the impact on him was still very huge.
Based on the above reasons, it was natural for Huasilevsky to say the next thing.
"... On the current central front, after you draw 1 million troops to form the Central Asian Special Front, the strength comparison between the enemy and us is about 3:1, and some locations are about 5:1. After considering technical weapons and personnel quality, I think the ratio is 6:1. It is impossible to defend against it. The difference is when we fail. I think the time point is likely to come to the most optimistic estimate in May. The German army will not be able to take down the Ural Industrial Zone in May. Therefore, I ask you to make the decision as early as possible for the sake of the party and the country, and for the common destiny of hundreds of millions of people and the various ethnic groups in the Soviet Union!"
As for what the decision is, Huasilevsky didn't say it, he didn't think it was necessary, Zhukov must understand.
The Ural Mountain Industrial Zone is currently the only large heavy industrial zone left in the Soviet Union. The industrial capacity and output value account for 75% of the current control of the Soviet Union. The remaining 25% are distributed in a few cities such as Moscow, Stalingrad, and Omsk. The Politburo believes that once this industrial zone is lost, the Soviet industrial capacity (mainly referring to the arms industry) will fall to a level similar to that of Italy. In fact, since a lot of German arms industry has been transferred to Italy, the latter's strength is also growing steadily, and the Soviet Union cannot reach it at all!
He closed his eyes and thought for a long time, and said to the staff officer beside him: "Please come to me, Comrades Chernyakov and Cuikov, and I want to discuss major matters with them."
Chapter completed!