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Chapter 329 Report of the Planning Committee

Sitting in the small conference hall of the Planning Commission, Su Cheng silently looked around the nearly 100 young planning commission cadres below the audience.

In terms of China's political structure, these young people have almost stood on the innermost track, equivalent to the ancient second-class Jinshi to third-class Jinshi. Once the opportunity is right, it is possible that Xuan Ma will become the prime minister, and the chance of becoming a senior official in the ministries and commissions is even more high.

For such a group of prides of heaven, it is very difficult for them to collectively admire someone. On the contrary, proud people will treat superiors with a more picky attitude, just like the ancient Jinshi officers.

Su Cheng gently took off his watch and placed it in the upper left corner of the table to remind himself of the time of making the report.

There is a date on the upper left side of the watch, reflecting the small words "November 14".

When the second hand reached the direction of 0 o'clock, Sucheng coughed gently and said, "The report I made today is about China's status under the new situation. First of all, I want to talk about the Soviet Union. Why the republics on the Baltic Sea coast first **? I think a tendency has caused centrifugation. Franchise republics, especially wealthy republics, believe that they contributed more to the Soviet Union than the Soviet Union gave them. On this issue, they would not consider the past when Stalin helped them build many factories... Now the Soviet Union is in such a rhythm. When the republic cannot solve the problem by itself, they will blame the entire Soviet Union. But if a certain republic does well in a certain aspect, it will only belong to this republic. The same problem actually occurs within Chinese state-owned enterprises, localities, or ministries..."

Since Sucheng has already taken the Zhongnan shortcut, he will continue to do it seriously. This report was compiled by him in a comprehensive way he knew and then ordered more than a dozen people from Dahua's Strategy Department to write based on existing research content and refer to public public publications at home and abroad.

The correct arguments and perfect arguments constitute a self-contained architecture, and the conference room quickly became quiet.

When Sucheng said that "what led to the collapse of the Soviet Union was political struggle, ethnic issues and social issues", many people were nodding frequently.

The Planning Commission claims to be a Chinese designer, and its young people are full of confidence and naturally have their own thoughts on the real world problems. But after listening to Sucheng's report, many people's ideas became clear.

Sucheng is a standard hindsight strategy. From the back to the front, we know that the Soviet Union is going to collapse, find the reason, know that the Soviet Union is going to privatize, find the argument...

This practice is natural, smooth and clear.

Someone raised his hand and wanted to ask a question immediately.

Su Cheng saw it above and stopped with his hands and said, "What I am talking about today is not the theory of the cause of the Soviet Union's problem solving. Now it is just a preface, and I will not accept the question for the time being. Next, I will talk about the status of China, what can we obtain and how to do in the disintegration of the Soviet Union."

He picked up the cup and drank it. The water found that a group of people were staring at him with wide eyes, which was actually no different from the workers in the Dahua factory.

Without the halo of identity, the young people from the Planning Commission are just young people.

While sighing, Su Cheng slowly spoke: "Since the collapse of the Soviet Union cannot be stopped, we must make more use of the good side and avoid the bad side. The good side is that the collapse of the Soviet Union will destroy its own industrial survival and release China's industrial capabilities. Some people can exchange light products of hundreds of cars of leather back to planes, while others make money by becoming a trash. This bartering method can indeed make a lot of money, but what I want to say is that the collapsed Soviet industry will form a huge demand market and can greatly increase my country's exports."

"The ruble is no longer valuable, but it is very troublesome to trade with barter. Just a contract that I know cannot be fulfilled is a big trouble." Someone below finally couldn't help but speak, and the consent sounded at the same time.

Sucheng nodded slightly and said, "We can provide loans to the Soviet Union, and in the name of the government, specifically provide loans to the Soviet Union, so that they can buy our industrial products, just like the Marshall Plan after World War II.

On the one hand, we gain international morality, and on the other hand, we also have real profits.”

"Whether profits are generated, our country's own foreign exchange is not enough."

"We don't need the state to use foreign exchange. In fact, we just need to start a name, and we don't even need to pay much." Sucheng, in the surprised face of everyone, took out his long-planned plan and said: "We first apply for a loan from the Soviet Bank, the Russian Bank or other national banks of the franchised republic in the name of a bank. Then, with a higher loan interest, we lend the money to the Soviets and ask them to use this money to purchase Chinese products. In fact, there is no need to pay really. As long as China pays for Chinese goods in RMB and then settles in rubles."

Now, not only the young people from the Planning Commission, but also the leaders sitting behind the scenes were stunned.

Compared to the usual financial operations that Su Cheng mentioned are actually more profound. For example, isn’t the cost of Chinese products purchased by China in RMB? In fact, for a fiat currency country like China, the cost of the RMB itself is very limited. Using this method to look at the medium and long term, it is definitely profitable, or even exceeds the short-term fast line. But the bad thing is that it cannot be quickly cashed out. It requires waiting 10 years or even longer before excess profits can emerge. It is the most suitable country.

Most of the staff of the Planning Commission have the corresponding financial understanding ability, and there is no need for Sucheng to explain too much. He faced the leaders and continued: "The problem of the Soviet Union is not that the lack of money, but that the ruble has lost its credibility and people have lost the confidence to use it. Therefore, as long as we buy real things for the Soviet Union, they don't care about the problem of lending to us. Because they pay ruble, we also pay ruble. This is just a digital game of air-to-air. On this basis, our products can be higher, the interest rate for loans from the Soviet Union can be lower, and the interest rate for loans to Soviet merchants can be higher."

Some people have actually used the views put forward by Sucheng for a long time. Modern Russian consortiums have basically risen in the financial turmoil of about 10 years. They have made a lot of profits by making money by making money in this way.

For those who are rushing to buy Soviet assets, the interest rate for loans is not important at all. As long as you can get a loan, it would be great. However, the state-owned banks in the Soviet Union did not dare to borrow money easily, so they went through the intermediary channels of private banks to complete the payment of the entire financial system.

By 1991, the interest rates of state-owned banks in the Soviet Union had risen to 100%, but the interest rates of commercial banks were even more exaggerated, reaching 200%. What’s more excessive is that the money of commercial banks was loaned from state-owned banks in the Soviet Union.

In other words, no matter how the ruble falls, commercial banks have to make at least 100% profit. 1 million rubles will make 1 million rubles, and 10 billion rubles will make 10 billion rubles.

In the end, inflation can only determine the question of how much it makes. No matter how much its value changes, the extra 100% cannot be eliminated.

It can be said that commercial banks exchange risks for money, while state-owned banks have to reduce risks in order to maintain the domestic financial system...

Compared to large-scale procurement in the Soviet Union, Sucheng was more willing to use financial means to acquire money. This method is not obvious, but the profit is definitely more than 100 industrial companies.

Someone asked below: "The current Soviet economy is not good, what if the loan cannot be returned?"

"We use mortgage loans to mortgage them at the current price. If the other party cannot repay the loan, we will confiscate the mortgage." Su Cheng said it very naturally.

Xie Weiwei was stunned and said, "This is too ruthless. If you use the current price as collateral, will it reduce the price of the collateral dozens of times?"

The prices of houses, land and factories in the Soviet Union were greatly reduced, and some were worthless. Of course, mortgages were used to use the price at the time of the loan, and this price may be only 10% of the price at its peak.

The reason why most Soviets applied for loans was to purchase their factories, real estate and other means of production, and their purchase price was often only a few percent of their actual value. Despite this, the Soviet Union did not allow foreigners to purchase these assets directly and obtain them through mortgage, which became a very important part of the privatization process after the collapse of the Soviet Union.

If a bank releases a large amount of mortgage loans, some of the loans will definitely not be recovered for various reasons. Therefore, obtaining collateral is inevitable, and profits in this area alone can probably make up for the value of domestic light industrial products.

Those present are all those who make plans for the country all year round, and they often think deeply about things.

Xie Weiwei was surprised to find that Sucheng's plan was actually tied up and fit. She couldn't help but have a glimpse of the idea that Sucheng planned this idea was definitely not a temporary idea. Thinking of this, she stood up and asked: "The Soviet Bank is too busy to take care of itself. If it really disintegrates, it will probably fall apart. In this case, we may not be able to borrow money."

Sucheng looked at his watch and said, "According to my analysis, Yeltsin will soon announce the takeover of financial power that originally belonged to the central government. The Russian Central Bank's plan to take over the Soviet National Bank is probably planned to be released at any time. According to time, this month will happen, maybe in the past few days."

This is the strategic business unit of Dahua, which was inferred based on the conditions formulated by the Soviet Union. If the Soviet Union collapsed at the end of December, the same is true. Russia, as the subject, must take over the financial rights at least one month in advance. Otherwise, Russia, as a national subject, will not be able to operate. Just like the Soviet Union as a national theme, if it is deprived of financial rights, it will not be able to operate.

Hearing this, Chief Lu couldn't help but said, "Let's stop here today, Mr. Su, the questions you mentioned are thought-provoking. Please give us a time to consider."

Now everyone knows that Su Cheng is not really going to give a report to young people, but he goes straight to the sky through the report. Moreover, after being filtered by the Planning Commission in advance, the value of this report has also been greatly improved.

He Tao, who was also in 1987, sighed softly and thought: If Su Cheng’s opinion is valued by his leader, his voice in the international situation in the future will be very different. (To be continued)
Chapter completed!
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