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Chapter 680 Ending the War (1)

The news of the victory of the Battle of the Taiwan Strait was officially ordered by Shang Jinfeng to be sent back to Qingdao at around 12 o'clock that night; and at 6 o'clock in the morning, the detailed results were sent back to Qingdao. This day was Xia Bohai on duty, so he also received the news of the victory of the People's Army Fleet at the first time. Although the detailed results were not known at this time, there was no doubt that the victory of this battle was won.

However, after receiving the news, Xia Bohai was not very excited because he knew that there was no reason why he could not win this battle with five modern warships. The result was only how to win? The more you win or the less you win. Therefore, after receiving the news, Xia Bohai just ordered the on-duty staff to send the news to the homes of Xiao Jianjun, Wang Yunpeng, and Xu Jichao. At the same time, he also sent a telegram to Qin Zheng in Shenyang, so that they could know as soon as possible that they had won. At the same time, they would notify the departments of the news early tomorrow morning and then start thinking about their own affairs.

It turned out that just this morning, Qin Zheng sent back a report, and put forward his own opinions on how to completely end the Far East War after the war in the Taiwan Strait. This report was also deeply loved by Xia Bohai.

The victory of the Battle of the Taiwan Strait can confirm that the East China government has won a victory on the battlefield, but this does not mean that the Far East War, which spans three years and lasts for more than 30 months, came to an end; it does not mean that the East China government has achieved the final victory. Because the war between countries has never been limited to only happening on the battlefield, and this Far East War involves a total of 6 countries, and the complexity of it is even more indescribable.

For soldiers, it is enough to win the battlefield, but for politicians, it is far from enough to achieve victory on the battlefield. The measurement of whether the final victory is achieved depends on whether the pre-war plan was realized and whether the national strategic benefits brought by victory were really obtained. Before the war, the East China government set the goal to expand its territory and gain broad space for the development of the East China government; severely hit Japan and Russia, making it impossible for them to pose a threat to the East China government in a short period of time, and shock other countries, creating a good environment for the development of the East China government; requesting huge war reparations from Japan and Russia to obtain a large amount of funds for the development of the East China government.

Judging from the current results, the first two goals have basically been achieved, but the last goal has not yet been decided. Moreover, the target of asking for war reparations is not only Japan and Russia, but also Britain, France and the Netherlands. However, these five countries are not incompetent Qing courts. They lose as soon as they lose, accept as soon as they lose, and pay for as soon as they are paid. They must be allowed to pay the reparations honestly, the victory is still not enough.

What if the five countries of Britain, France, Japan, Russia and the Netherlands insist on not paying compensation? Should the East China government continue the war? If the war continues, where is the next direction of the East China government's military use? What is the goal of using military use? Should the five countries use war to pay compensation? Or should one or two countries be destroyed? And can the finance, manpower and material resources of the East China government support the continued war? These issues are all things that politicians need to think about. Therefore, it is by no means empty talk to say that an excellent politician should consider how the war ends when the war begins.

Xia Bohai of course knew that the war could not continue infinitely. Although the East China government achieved extremely brilliant victory on the battlefield, its weaknesses were quite obvious. That is, the East China government's finances, manpower and material resources were indeed impossible to support the war for a long time.

At present, the East China government has not shortage of funds, and after winning the Battle of the Taiwan Strait, fundraising is not a big problem. It can continue to issue bonds in the markets of the United States and Germany. However, the East China government's manpower and material resources have almost reached its limit.

Before the war started, the East China government occupied not much territory. There was only the whole province of Shandong, some Henan Province, and a small number of Hebei, Hubei, Anhui, Jiangsu and other places, with a total area of ​​about 280,000 square kilometers and a population of about 40 million. However, except for Shandong Province, other regions were not fully developed and their support for the war was limited. Therefore, only Shandong Province could support the war. It can also be said that in addition to military strength, the East China government was the weakest in comprehensive strength among all parties involved in the war, and it was to use the power of a province to fight against Britain, France, Japan, Russia and the Netherlands.

In terms of manpower, the East China government can be self-sufficient without being strong, but most of the war materials needed must be introduced from the outside, of course, mainly within the scope of China. The East China government is well prepared for war, and has a good reputation and high reputation in China, and has established multiple stable supply channels. Therefore, at the beginning of the war, when the supply of materials was still very high, the supplies were also very rich.

However, the war also consumed a lot of materials. Before the Puttsmouth negotiations, the East China government's consumption rate had exceeded the increase in the supply of goods and goods. After the breakdown of the Puttsmouth negotiations, Britain and France participated in the war, not only in military operations but also economically suppressed the East China government, but also joined forces with the Qing court to restrict the import of materials to the East China government.

Both Britain and France have operated in China for decades and have a huge influence on the Chinese economy. After all, the Qing court is still the current legal government of China. Although it was extremely declining at this time, the remaining power of more than 250 years cannot be ignored. Therefore, some merchants who supply materials to the East China government were forced to stop or reduce the supply of materials to the East China government under the double pressure of Britain and France. Some merchants were not optimistic about the East China government because Britain and France participated in the war and were not optimistic about the East China government, so they cut off the East China government. Not only did they interrupt the commercial exchanges with the East China government, but some even received deposits from the East China government but detained the goods. Only a small number of people insisted on maintaining trade exchanges with the East China government, and Britain and France adopted methods such as price raising and rushing purchases, which increased the difficulty and cost of the East China government's material input.

As a result, the input of materials from the East China government suddenly decreased sharply, at the lowest point, less than 30% of the normal situation. Fortunately, the East China government had a large accumulation before, and both Japan and Russia were severely damaged and were unable to launch a large-scale war, so the materials were smaller. The East China government seized the opportunity and successively won the victory of regaining Shenyang, conquering Manzhouli, landing in Japan. In addition, the population of materials was used to plunder Japan, and the population was putting pressure on Japan, but it also alleviated its own supply and demand difficulties to a considerable extent.

However, some businessmen saw that the East China government had won consecutive victories. On the other hand, they were forced to pressure from public opinion and changed their minds and secretly exported a small amount of materials to the East China government. Therefore, the input of materials from the East China government also slowly rebounded. Before the Battle of the Taiwan Strait, the speed of material input was not strongly returned to about 50% of the previous one.

However, at this time, the input of materials was far behind the consumption of materials. Therefore, the total reserved materials of the East China government are only enough for about 4-5 months. Of course, after the Battle of the Taiwan Strait, more merchants will probably resume the supply of materials to the East China government. It is optimistic that the consumption of materials in the East China government should be able to last for 8-9 months, and then there will be a shortage of materials.

In addition, the war has also had a huge blow to the economy, people's livelihood and social development of the East China government. Now, in addition to military industry, investment, production and operation of almost all other industries have been stopped. Moreover, private daily necessities have been allocated according to the plan, all entertainment industries have basically closed down, and the entire society has almost completely stagnated.

However, this situation cannot last long. The East China government estimates that it can only ensure stability for half a year at most. If this situation is maintained for one year, the rule of the East China government will be unstable. Therefore, in the current situation, although the East China government has achieved a very brilliant military victory, it is not a sure victory. In the old time and space, although Japan achieved military victory, it had to give up the demand for compensation in the final negotiations. It is because Russia could still afford it. However, Japan's national strength and economy could not support the continued war at that time, and could only compromise in order to completely end the war. The ideal result of the East China government was to officially end the war within half a year and obtain compensation, but could only last for one year at most. At that time, it would not be possible to pay compensation, but the war would be ended.

However, if the war compensation is not obtained, the East China government will bear a heavy debt burden, which will inevitably seriously affect future development. Although it has obtained a large amount of land and strategic benefits from the war, it cannot offset the debt, and it can only be considered a miserable victory. In the old time and space, although Japan won the Russo-Japanese War, it was unable to obtain war compensation from Russia, and it was borne a heavy debt burden since then. As a result, it was not until the outbreak of World War I and Japan obtained a large number of war orders before paying off the debt. Therefore, for the East China government, war compensation was determined to be a must.

Of course, the situation facing the East China government is much better than that of Japan in the old time and space. The East China government can still last for one and a half years, and the consumption of Japan and Russia is far greater than that of the old time and space. The domestic economy is basically collapsed. Now it depends entirely on blood transfusions from Britain and France to support it. Once the blood transfusion stops, Japan and Russia will be in shock immediately. Britain and France have strong national strength, but their homeland is too far from China. The two countries have a large number of economic, political and geostrategic interests in Asia. However, in the Battle of the Taiwan Strait, Britain and France are almost unable to protect their interests in the Far East. At the same time, Britain and France also have to transfusion blood to Japan and Russia, and cannot let Japan and Russia collapse. Therefore, Britain and France are not easy. As for the Netherlands, their national strength is weak, they can be ignored.
Chapter completed!
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